War has raged, a five day truce was arranged to release hostages-Israeli prisoners, and war has now resumed once more in full force. With much of world opinion against Israel – an unreasonably biased opinion in the circumstances – there is only so long it can wage war before the world imposes a ceasefire. Israel must therefore decide which of our earlier options to pursue, relative to its sub-options. Ultimately, all indications are that it would pursue Option B: It besiege Hamas forces, negotiate hostages’ release, minimize collateral deaths, but with no Palestinian criminals released in exchange.
With this Option B choice your author decided to examine the sub-options Israel has to resolve this tough situation. This was based upon a revised question: “What is the likely optimum solution to the Israeli-Hamas war – Option B: Besiege Hamas forces, negotiate all hostages released, minimize collateral deaths, and then pull out, with no Palestinian criminals released; considering 1) Israel’s heightened level of rage, 2) world and Arab support of Palestinians, 3) Israel’s inability to crush Hamas completely and 4) need to recover all 200+ Israeli/Allied hostages alive?” Again, it’s appropriate to focus on just these four considerations to reduce complexity in your editor’s eventual suggestion, when that ultimate moment arrives – despite there being many other possible considerations out there.
He decided to remain with Option B yin and yang “bookends,”as posed by this question, to keep his mind focused against other immediate mental distractions. Bookends such as these are vital for preventing our fertile intuitive minds from wandering and losing concentration. We are mostly unaware of how powerfully valuable but foot-loose our intuition can be unless we can keep it properly focused on such occasions.
These came to be: “Let events play their natural course” – Questionable success – too much anger in support of Palestinians;and “Western allies push Israel out of Gaza” – Strong reluctance to do so You will note the italicized detractors associated with these least likely options, which shows why they are not particularly good ideas for consideration. Even so, these bookends will now hopefully nudge this editor’s intuitive thinking into high gear once more to come-up with a range of realistic sub-options – see ourLatest Worked Option Example.
Now you can view his at least five plus realistic sub-options – AA thru EE or FF – that would then be ready for some emotional distancing. FF allows for his Israeli “clients” to come up with their own sub-option to aid their buy-into what’s proposed. Emotional distancing would allow him/Israelis to take a couple of hours or more of quiet reflection, or even sleep on it, beforecoming to any final conclusion/ suggestion. You can replace these proposed options with any new ones of your own.
His final five to six sub-options look quite interesting and he was particularly intrigued by Sub-Option C– Pummel Hamas until permanent ceasefire in exchange for hostages – no Israeli prisoners released…Beyond that, Mossad should quietly pursue the elimination of Hamas leaders until they desist. He should then offer these sub-options to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. It would only likely work against the PM and his War Cabinet to second-guess himself/themselves once his/their initial decision was made…no matter the challenges ahead.
If you have an example of your own, please share it with this blogger, through the COMMENT area or contact him at peter@ileadershipsolutions.com. Thanks Option Solving. (NOTE: Our next posting will be in two week’s time: “ What is the USA’s continuing optimum option in view of current three hotspots – Ukraine, Israel-Gaza and Taiwan?”Let’s have your COMMENTS or go to peter@ileadershipsolutions.com. Allow time to connect with the blogger. Also consider buying the book: “Smart Decisions: Goodbye Problems, Hello Options” through amazon.com)
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